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this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
in nevada and colorado. nevada is a pathway to 270 without ohio. i think the post-mortem on this is that -- if the republicans don't win, a look a thow they dealt with the latino vote and the language they used and the perception that is created. the latino vote is one of the pillars of the obama strategy. and a big turnout like the president said -- this is a reason why he wins. he was playing the analyst and acts like he doesn't do it publically. >> the best visual we've seen about the changing face of american politics -- the percentage of the vote white voters make up. it is down 3-4 points each election adn this will continue a long time. it was a reality they could blow off but they can't win without improving those numbers. >> you saw rubio try to do that -- >> and -- it was such a moment. really. and if we see, if republicans are serious about that, they will get serious about immigration reform. >> i will make a prediction if romney doesn't win. this is the last time we see a major party ticket with two white men on it. it will be almost automatic you have
, but it think it will be tough to overcome the top of the ticket impact. >> stay out west in nevada, third congressional district. >> joe heck, the congressman, this is the type of district the democrats should be challenging in if they wanted to win the majority. this is suburban las vegas clark county district come place where democrats should be doing very well. and write the democrats are having a tough time going after joe heck. democratic nominee is john, a former leader in the statehouse, but what's interesting is even though he has the influential position in the state legislature from its after talking talking about his record as a firefighter. they're not even mentioning that he's a politician because that label is not one to want to have. answer right now joe heck has the advantage that if democrats are having a better night than we expect, they would need to do better in this type of district's. california is a solid blue state for the president. but a couple of interesting house races in that state. >> well, california normally as handicappers we can almost ignore the state ev
in the early vote in several of them, including ohio, iowa, nevada, we've got a lead in colorado. we feel very good about where we are. >> david axelrod joining us this morning. thanks for being with us. we appreciate your time. >> thank you. >> you want to be sure to watch the rest of our cnn election team tonight when the first polls close at 6:00 p.m. eastern. you can follow the exact countdown in the lower left-hand side of your screen and as the clock ticks for those closing. there are other stories making news this morning. zoraida's got that for you. >> good morning. another key race to watch today former presidential candidate michele bachmann in the toughest battle of her political life. minnesota congresswoman is in a tight race with democratic challenger jim graves. in their final debate, bachmann defended her claims that muslim brotherhood operatives have infiltrated the federal government. >>> and a sign today that the northeast is slowly recovering from superstorm sandy. the national september 11th memorial at the world trade center site in new york city reopened today. it was cl
. >> that's plan c. wisconsin and iowa, colorado, new hampshire and nevada were plan b. >> one of them is gone. let's talk about florida. because you guys have been numbers crunching like crazy. it's interesting to comparing them to what they were four years ago. what is your sense, karl? identified that miami-dade and broward counties and palm beach the democratic strongholds in the south. obama is doing better in those. he is doing a little less than big urban centers of the i4 corridor. tampa saint peter and orlando and less well in the urban counties in the i4 corridors and worse in the southwest corner of the state and up in the north. the real one is the panhandle where he is running further behind where he did four years ago. walton county got 26% of the vote. now 23.7% of the vote. romney is getting 3 1/2 points better than -- but this race right now is settled. million people having voted is 2000 votes apart. i think at the end of the day it's about-- in--t me brin >> this has been going back and forth. the interesting thing is in the counties where obama is doing a s doing or
of the night about colorado, iowa, some of the states in the west like nevada, perhaps. i think we will have a pretty good idea about what is happening early in the night and from there we will see whether the western states actually matter or not. >> i think that va is a very telling state. we focus on va a lot because it is right next door to washington, d.c. but the demographics are very similar to the rest of america. heavily democratic an urban area, nerve -- northern virginia, a very conservative, rural, southern virginia. the race and the demographics is similar to the country at large. the growing hispanic population. also a significant african- american population. if you want to look at a state that is very much epitomizes what the rest of the country is like, i think you look at a state like virginia which right now is pulling very close. if people want a good idea about which way things are headed, i think they should look at the results in virginia. >> any surprises? >> in the presidential race or anything? i think people need to keep an eye on pennsylvania right now. i have bee
. president obama held on in nevada. why? for years no primary challenge. remember, they spent money, they identified, they turned out all the latino voters. colorado, suburban voters, latino voters. the president held onto that one. you were impressed by it, they outhustled governor romney. they held onto iowa, a state governor romney was so confident they were going to get. the republican governor put registration at parody. the republicans thought they could get it. they got outhustled again. wisconsin, the paul ryan pick was not enough. state blue dna. >> scott walker won would have a shot. >> one lesson we learn second-degree that mid-term elections are not presidential elections. obama people said african-american turnout will come back and it did. latino would come back, and it did. this is what you end up with. all of the states i turned blue were states at one point or another the romney campaign felt comfortable and a few felt very comfortable about. president obama outhustled them and ran the board. the luxury of no primary, all that spending on turnout. but look, they wer
ran up hugemore joins with non-white vote errs and you look at a state like nevada. it's 1 in 7 voters is latino. nevada has one of the worst economies, i think it has the highest unemployment rate. >> foreclosures. >> it's basically an economic basket case, and yet the incumbent is able to prevail, and a lot of people will be looking at that and saying that's the effect of the latino vote. >> and smart republican strategists have already come to terms with this. had before the election, especially so this morning. some of them saying this morning that texas within eight years could turn into a swing state, one that republicans have taken for granted. 38 electoral votes but with the rising latino population that suddenly could go into that category. >> republican ted cruz won in the stat, by the way. >> of all the important things to come out of the election, stunned to see what you zeroed in on here, savannah. >> to use brian williams team, weed, marijuana. >> that's not brian williams term. people say that. >> that was one of the funnier moments. >> let's put it plainly, we're talkin
by 58% to 40% in florida, 87% to 10% in colorado, at 80% to 17% in nevada, and 60% to 31% in virginia. we will go to one of the swing state in this election now. -- a swing states in this election now. caller: i love the statement that he made about self deportation. absolutely right. that is basically what the gop party is doing, not just to latinos, but everyone else. it is basically 47%. one of the things i would like to mention -- i wrote this over 20 years ago -- we had 36 men in mexico who controlled 54% of mexico's gross national product. how much can they need to buy? i am sick and tired of the 36 men in mexico -- the number of men in the united states, canada, central america, south america, europe and asia, etc., whose lust for more greed and power is destroying the entire planet for man and beast. that bothers me. i feel that they spend their lives living off a bus. -- off of us. as long as we obey their roles, everything is ok. -- off of us. as long as we obey their rules, everything is ok. guest: i think that oftentimes, the process that is taken in -- to having a greater
state of nevada in mitt romney's column, and that's how you get it. it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that that was foreshadowing this nightmare scenario. >> as you talk to us, chuck, i want to note that vice president biden is waiting in line to vote in delaware this morning. we'll keep an eye on that as you and i continue to talk. >> reporter: speaking of vice president biden. under this scenario and people are wondering if you don't get to 270, this would go to the house, so the house would elect the president. the senate would elect the vice president, so under this scenario your most likely outcome romney/biden. >> then we'll know
in nevada and colorado and delaware. we elected the least delectable an.electable republicza this will be five senate seats by nominating the least electable. fault.s not karl rove's candidates have to end up running their own races sometimes. the agendas are set by these other ads and interest groups and organizations on the ground. moving to the senate, i think of romney wins the presidency and i think that is a possibility, despite the pundits, i think -- if romney worked to win it, republicans would end up picking up three seats. they have to pick up net. it could happen but everything would have to fall in line at this point. because of the missouri and indiana situations. also i do not to get out of the realm of possibility that maine, the independent brigance for what is best for me and caucuses. he has been pushed very hard on this and said he is not making a commitment even though he has been pushed hard on this. angus king has endorsed bush and he is supporting obama this time. he is an independent. we are assuming some things that could take place. we will know mor
there are republican governors around this country and there there's diversity there too. you have sandoval and nevada and nikki haley and you have susanna martinez in new mexico and bobby jindal in louisiana. there is diversity and there is leadership in those states in terms of how are they dealing with this so a lot of that you can look to the cities and look to the leadership that there is around the country in terms of what people are happy with and what they do look to republicans for in terms of handling the economy and handling the budget. >> as a republican strategy, mitch mcconnell and john boehner are heading into a budget summit meeting and you have 30 seconds. >> i thought you said you were going to go easy on me today. >> up the right. >> well look, i think i mean, can we keep going on like we have been the last you know, several years? know but does that mean we have to just say we are going to do everything that president obama wants? know, think there needs to be a conversation and there needs to be, we all come to the table and we had to figure this out but we have got to look at wha
night? >> in nevada we talk about the third race -- their district, but the fourth district. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is the type of district democrats need to win in order to do well. overall i will be watching the seats that republicans favored or even lean republican. the reason why that is how far our are competitive list race democrats have to start winning in defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. for not winning the heavy -- heavily republican seats, that it will not enough. >> look of the big picture, the balance of power. look at where the president a strong comeback there romney is strong. will there be coattails for the house seats in state by state battles? >> i think the most impact we've seen from the presidential race has already happened. i know in talking to democrats that are running the races, that first debate was fundamentally important, not just because it shifted the presidential debate, but because it was a time when house candidates registered to go on television, try to prove a moderate credentials. that first
would be nevada. it's a state a that a lot of republicans and democrats slightly leans in the democratic category. but it's not an implausible scenario. if nobody got 270 then the house of representatives would decide who the president was, but the u.s. senate would vote on who the vice president was. that means the most likely outcome under this scenario is a romney/biden scenario. >> another scenario if ohio is too close to call. >> here's the problem with ohio. they have a new law that says provisional ballots, and these are ballots that are questioned there, maybe somebody didn't bring an i.d., maybe a signature is off, they will let you vote, but you get put in a separate stack. they wouldn't even start counting them until november 17th. today is still november 6th. so in 11 days, let's say the margin is less than 50,000, there's likely to be over 200,000 provisional ballots cast in ohio. they wouldn't start counting those until 11 days. . they wouldn't start counting until then. it would make 2000 feel like a flakback for people. >> that brings us to our final nightmare scenario an
. romney by 58% to 40% in florida, 87% to 10% in colorado, at 80% to 17% in nevada, and 60% to 31% in virginia. we will go to one of the swing state in this election now. -- a swing states in this election now. caller: i love the statement that he made about self deportation. absolutely right. that is basically what the gop party is doing, not just to latinos, but everyone else. it is basically 47%. one of the things i would like to mention -- i wrote this over 20 years ago -- we had 36 men in mexico who controlled 54% of .exico's gross national product how much can they need to buy? i am sick and tired of the 36 men in mexico -- the number of men in the united states, canada, central america, south america, europe and asia, etc., whose lust for more greed and power is destroying the e ntire planet for man and beast. that bothers me. i feel that they spend their lives living off a bus. as long as we obey their roles, everything is ok. -- off of us. as long as we obey their rules, everything is ok. guest: i think that oftentimes, the process that is taken in -- to having a greater
of this sparsely populated state of nevada and do the other issues i want to defend. but, mr. president, we believe that there should be one aspect of the senate that changes, and that is this motion to proceed should be a nondebatable motion to proceed. simple as that. and the american people agree. i repeat, the only ones who disagree, that think this senate is working well are the republican leader and those republicans in congress. mr. mcconnell: mr. president? the presiding officer: the republican leader. mr. mcconnell: i hope the majority leader will stay on the floor here. i gather the way the majority leader proposes to effectuate this rules change is to violate the surpbt rule of the senate. -- the current rule of the senate. to do it with a simple majority. mr. reid: of course. that statement is untrue and i don't accept that. mr. mcconnell: mr. president, i believe i have the floor. that's the point. what the majority leader is saying is he will break the rules of the senate in order to change the rules of the senate. it has been the case in the past that it took a supermajority of 67, w
Search Results 0 to 18 of about 19 (some duplicates have been removed)